The National Energy Board: dependence on China's crude oil imports in the first-line _ international daily official blog

March 24 to 25 February, 11th China Petroleum Commerce Conference held in Xiamen, Fujian, China's crude oil import dependence high and the resulting national energy security issues become participating government officials, academics and industry focus. According to the National Energy Board recently published data, in 2009, China's production of crude oil 1.89 billion tons, net imports of crude oil has reached 1.99 million tons of crude oil import dependency for the first time in more than 50% to $ cordon 51.29%. At the same time, China's oil imports source and oil transportation relatively single, exacerbated the risk of national energy security. Concerned experts suggested that crude oil resources as a strategic resource, its security level directly involve national energy security, reducing oil consumption and looking for alternatives to oil, accelerate overseas oil development, promoting the acquisition and the crude oil pipeline system, and reduce our oil dependence on imports. Crude oil import dependence rapid rise as China's rapid economic development, energy being the contradictory have become increasingly prominent. According to statistics, 2000-2009, China's crude oil consumption increased by 2.41 million tons to 3.88 billion tonnes annually 6.78%, net imports of crude oil by 5969 million tons to 1.99 billion tons, import dependency and rising by 24.8% to 51.29%. "China's crude oil needs will become the future in terms of crude oil imports are expected to be more and more. "Energy economy of China, Xiamen University, Director Lin Bo said, however, China's crude oil production has a downward trend. 2009 domestic crude oil production 18949.0 million tons, up down 0.4%, relative to the 2004-2008 the average annual growth rate of 2.3%, crude oil production significantly slowed. "If you follow this speed development, China's economy will be difficult to maintain for a long time. "Lin Bo Qiang, 2015, China's oil imports dependence is expected to reach 65% by 2020 could reach more than 70%. Lin Bo Qiang to per capita oil consumption had accounts: 2008 Chinese per capita annual oil consumption-283 kg per capita in the world, for the United States is 587 kg up to 2 .91 tons, Japan has 1.74 tons. If China's per capita oil consumption reached the present world average, China's oil consumption will reach 6 .6 million tons. "According to the China 1.8 — 2.0 billion tons of oil production peaks, China Petroleum import dependence will up to 72%, and the United States at present dependence on petroleum imports only 63%. "Lin Bo Qiang said. China Petroleum Corporation Planning Institute Deputy Chief Engineer of Chang Fu Qin also says that China's imports of oil and gas production by more than 50% of dependence, "crude oil import dependence high, resource conflicts have become increasingly prominent, is ' 12% ' oil industry planning for a big challenge. "At present, China is the world's second largest oil-consuming countries use more than half of the oil there needs to be imported from abroad, and its own energy needs without slowing the trend. Experts believe that China has no international petroleum pricing power, more than half of the oil demand in the international market is very insecure, energy gap is too large to China energy security of uncertainties. Petroleum import sources and transport routes as far as the risk of a single increase of national development and Reform Commission integrated transport Institute researcher Qi aihua, China's oil and gas pipeline transportation after 50 years of development, the total mileage of pipeline from 1958 0.02 million km of 2008 increased to nearly 6 million km. But oil and gas pipeline construction speed and rapid development of crude oil imports still do not match. Qi aihua said that in recent years, there has been a rapid increase in oil and gas needs, domestic resources do not meet demand, imports, and import dependence increases year by year. According to Chinese customs statistics, total for 2009 China import crude oil 2.038 million tons, an increase of ten 14.08% are Petro source countries: Saudi Arabia (4195.3 million tons), Angola (3217.2 million tons), Iran (2314 .7 million tons), Russia (1530.4 million tons), Sudan (1219.1 million tons), Oman (1163.8 million tons), Iraq (716.3 million tons), Kuwait (707.6 million tons), Libya (634.4 million tons), Kazakhstan (600.6 tons) expert said that China's crude oil imports is not out of place of origin is too centralized, and more to political instability in contradiction. Petroleum import source depends primarily on the Middle East, up to 50%, while imports from Africa source also bulked large. At the same time, China Petroleum transport lines too dependent on the Strait of Malacca. According to reports, the Straits of Malacca is the lifeline of China's offshore oil. Once the channel terrorist attacks, the Chinese oil imports channel will be threatened. According to the Galaxy futures co., Ltd. energy chemical industry Ministry senior analyst Peter Chan Chao, in recent years, oil alternatives has already occurred. For example, the use of natural gas in power plants, petroleum coke, coal-water slurry in ceramic plant, a glass works, because the price advantage, these fuel-greateropportunities substitution effect. But China's "rich-lean coal, oil, little gas" has not changed the basic pattern, with sustained economic growth, oil consumption will continue to increase, and the next few decades crude oil production is very difficult to substantially improve, a large number of imported oil is an inevitable choice. This relative single import sources and transport routes makes China Petroleum security at greater risk. "China Petroleum's current situation and expected, Chinese Petroleum security will increasingly vulnerable, and weakening faster. "Lin Bo Qiang said. Experts believe that China should diversify its energy sources, oil supply diversification plurality, mode of transport and the strategic oil reserves, is China's oil security must face. The "expenditure" guarantee energy security with the import of oil quantity increases, the impact of the international oil market is also growing. Hailed as "the blood" of the petroleum industry, will become the bottleneck of development? the experts of our domestic oil supply situation is very serious, we recommend that you follow the principle of "expenditure", take the following measures to protect national energy security. One is to reduce oil consumption, energy use side management. Experts said that the Chinese have long been overly concerned about energy supply, but rarely do well from the perspective of demand energy tubesReason, you should increase the value of the unit of energy, reducing energy consumption, improve efficiency, reduce emissions, the use of good energy. The second is looking for alternative energy sources. A Planning Institute in oil experts claim that the development of alternative energy to focus on Science and technology research and development, its economic and competitive advantage. At present, fuel ethanol production rapidly increased, mainly in North America, Latin America and the EU, it is expected that 2013 global fuel ethanol made from refined oil will account for oil consumption by 5%. China's Chongqing, Hubei, Shandong, etc. will be planned fuel ethanol project. Lin Bo strongly raised the alternative electric vehicles. He considered that the specific point of view, the electric vehicle of the most promising alternative. The third is the acquisition of overseas oil assets and oil development. Experts believe that China's petroleum enterprises "going out" has many advantages, including exploration and development in technologies, enhance oil recovery technology leader; powerful drilling, well logging, geophysical and other technical services team, a service advantage; management and cost advantages. The fourth is to speed up the construction of oil pipeline so that the future of China's oil and gas import sources more diversified. The future of China's crude oil pipeline constructions with two resources at home and abroad, based on refinery development requirements, reasonable determination of crude oil flow and optimize resource allocation and distribution; insist on short-term and long-term, from national level to co-ordinate planning, step-by-step implementation. Northwest, Southwest, Northeast three major oil and gas construction is being continuously improved. According to the qi, Northwest Passage Dürkopp Adler has built a natural gas pipeline from Central Asia and Kazakhstan oil pipeline; Southwest channel Burma oil pipeline stage wharf project has started in October last year; the Northeast channel building and Russian oil pipeline and the construction of gas pipeline are China and Russia.